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Correlation is not causation, but . . .

  • 1 Jun 2023 12:03 PM
    Reply # 13208977 on 13206168
    John Maindonald wrote:

    So, where did the data come from?https://twitter.com/NoContextBrits/status/1661084134293291010/photo/1

    I appreciate these things can show up some very concerning trends around the world, but some of us also have limited time

    They work (in this case) because there is a reasonable/plausible hypothesis

    Scary

    But how many are 1:1

    How many people in the world these days are not able to put up a joke about data because they are so busy filling the world's heads with very questionable graphs which they think are true

    Apparently everyone these days is a data and AI expert

    *attempt at humour above

    **serious note - some of us are fighting genuine justice struggles against seemingly unsurmountable power. I will ask why there is never a response to fix up any errors in our world anymore - not amusing hoaxes that waste our time too

    Last modified: 1 Jun 2023 1:04 PM | Duncan Lowes
  • 29 May 2023 6:08 AM
    Reply # 13207579 on 13207440
    Teresa Neeman wrote:

    Hi John,

    In that case, it seems that you, Ken and whoever else took this at face value were pranked.

    See https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/mad-cow-versus-brexit/

    quoted from this website: If the graphic displayed above truly did show a map of Brexit voters on the left and a map of the 1990s' mad cow outbreak on the right, the correlation would be difficult to deny. However, the real reason that these two maps look so similar is that they are actually the same map, with one in color and one in grayscale. The creator of this image took a real map showing Brexit results, then altered the map's key, date, and color before sharing it on social media to satirize the results of the referendum.

    I had assumed it was a prank, but looking closer at the 'BSE' map, the 'smile' across the south of England is suspicious. That (roughly) is the M4 Corridor; rural areas along one of the motorways to London, which have been urbanising (suburbanising?) over the last 40 (?) years. So, the sort of prosperous area which would have voted Remain; but 30 years previous probably had cattle, and so BSE.

    (The high levels of BSE in Mid Wales, but not on the western Welsh coast, also struck me as odd)

    Duncan

  • 28 May 2023 9:43 AM
    Reply # 13207440 on 13206168

    Hi John,

    In that case, it seems that you, Ken and whoever else took this at face value were pranked.

    See https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/mad-cow-versus-brexit/

    quoted from this website: If the graphic displayed above truly did show a map of Brexit voters on the left and a map of the 1990s' mad cow outbreak on the right, the correlation would be difficult to deny. However, the real reason that these two maps look so similar is that they are actually the same map, with one in color and one in grayscale. The creator of this image took a real map showing Brexit results, then altered the map's key, date, and color before sharing it on social media to satirize the results of the referendum.

    Last modified: 28 May 2023 9:46 AM | Teresa Neeman
  • 27 May 2023 6:14 AM
    Reply # 13207204 on 13206168

    I shared it because it seemed amusing.  But it does also, if the data on which it is based are accurate, raise questions about what is driving the apparent association.  Maybe history, culture and . . .

  • 26 May 2023 8:50 AM
    Reply # 13206808 on 13206168

    Hi John,

    I'm not sure why you're sharing this. It was intended as a joke, but because you've shared it without any explanation, the casual reader could take it at face value. 

  • 25 May 2023 7:01 AM
    Message # 13206168

    So, where did the data come from?https://twitter.com/NoContextBrits/status/1661084134293291010/photo/1

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